Wow, he just wailed on his face.

Detroit -1 1/2 (+165) at Tampa Bay: Detroit is coming off a tough loss to PIttsburgh where they played really well, but seemed to let up down the stretch and Pitt stole the win. TB is coming off a terrible loss last night as they failed to score, losing 4-0. I really like Detroit in this spot. TB is playing worse at home than they are on the road scoring less than 2 goals per and allowing over 2 goals per. Detroit’s offense continues to produce over 3 goals a game. Detroit has dominated this series overall and should be hungry for a win off that loss. Look for Detroit to take advantage of a weak and tired TB team.

Bet $100 to win $165

2. Toronto (+125) at Edmonton: I really like both of these teams and both are playing well above expectations so far this season. Edmonton continues to rely on their solid defense and finally get back home after a really long road trip. Toronto relies heavly on their offense as they have not been that strong defensively this year. They are young, but still play very good hockey. Their offense is averaging over 3 goals per, both at home and on the road. I think Edmonton might come out a little flat as they still may need sometime to recover from that road trip. Take Toronto to pull the small upset.

Bet $200 to win $250

After a win last out our record now stands at 9-6 on top plays with a profit of $522. There are couple of plays I really like tonight.

Tampa Bay (-105) at Florida

Even though TB’s record is not that impressive they have consistently played strong solid defensive hockey. They are on the final game of their road trip, but at least they are finally back in Florida. Florida is also coming off a long road trip where they played terrible losing 4 of 5. TB’s power play attack has been very strong and their defensive power-play unit has been strong as well. On the other hand, Florida has simply not got it together in the power play category scoring on less than 10% of the man advantage opportunities. Take TB.

Bet $210 to win $200

Florida 4 TB 0

Record 9-7

Profit $322

Other Plays to Consider:

1. Boston (+125) at Chicago Bos 2 Chi 1 OT

2. Washington (-105) at Carolina Wash 5 Car 1

Edmonton continues on their long road trip with a trip to NJ tonight. I like Edmonton in this spot for several reasons. They are coming a couple days rest, NJ played a tough game against Detroit last night and lost, and Edmonton is playing very solid hockey even though their record doesn’t really show it. NJ has not been the same without Brodeur as goals allowed since his loss is up. Edmonton can score as they have averaged over 3 goals per game in their last five. Edmontons powerplay teams, both offense and defense, are much better than NJ as well.

Bet $220 TO WIN $200

PLAYS TO CONSIDER:

Edmonton/NJ over 5.5

SJ/Phoenix under 5

Ottawa (+110) at Carolina:

Ottawa has been playing very solid hockey winning their last two. They have played well on the road going 3-1. Ottawa is also benefiting from a healthy injury free line-up. On the other hand, Florida is already pretty banged up and has only played average hockey at home going 2-2. Ottawa’s defense is allowing less than two goals per on the road, while scoring almost 3. Take Ottawa here.

Bet $200 to win $220

Dallas/Anaheim over 5.5 (Even)

Dallas is not living up to expectations so far this season, but they can still score goals averaging almost 3 a game, however slightly less on the road. I think tonight they pick-up their goals scoring on the road based on Anaheim’s defense giving up almost 3 per. Anaheim is averaging over 3 goals per game, while Dallas’s defense is giving up almost 4 goals. Look for this one to hit the over.

$200 to win $200

RESULTS:

CAR 2 OTT 1

DAL/ANA TOTAL 7

OVERALL RECORD 8-6

PROFIT $322

Other Plays to Consider:

1. Dallas (+150) at Anaheim DAL 5 ANA 2

2. Atlanta at Buffalo - 1 1/2 (+110) ATL 5 BUF 4 OT

Edmonton (+160) at Pittsburgh

I know that Edmonton is on a long road trip and they are coming off a tough loss last night, but they are still playing pretty good hockey right now. Pitt is coming off several days rest, however, Pitt tends not to come back as sharp on several days rest. On the other hand, Edmonton plays better after allowing at least 5 goals in the previous game, I am sure that has to do with the team making a more concerted effort to control the puck, avoid turnovers, and play better defense. Pitt has struggled against the Western conference going 3-7 in their last 10. Take Edmonton here to pull the upset.

Bet $100 to win $160.

Result Pitt 5 Edm. 4

Florida (+110) at Los Angeles:

This is a game between two teams who are really struggling right now as Florida has lost four in a row and LA has lost five in a row. Florida is starting the west coast swing and should be due for win playing a very weak and struggling LA team. Florida has played well against teams with losing records and there aren’t many teams playing as bad as LA. Make a small play on Florida here.

Bet $100 to win $110

Result LA 3 FL. 2

OVERALL RECORD 7-5

PROFIT: $322

Other Plays to Consider:

1. Florida/LA over 5.5 TOTAL 5

2. St. Louis/San Jose over 5.5 TOTAL 9

3. St. Louis (+250) at San Jose SJ 5 STL 4

4. Nashville at Calgary (-160)

Both of these teams have struggled to get things going in the right direction this season. Edmonton has either been hot or cold; they have won three, lost five, and won two. Columbus has not been much better, but they have been more consistent. Columbus has lost their last two, one in a shoot-out and one in overtime. Columbus’s defense has been much better at home allowing almost a goal less. They have been stronger killing power plays than Edmonton. Edmonton is on a seven game road trip and there are sure to be some let downs during their long travels. Take Columbus in this spot.

Bet $110 to win 100.

Result Col. 5 Edm. 4

RECORD 7-3 on top rated picks.

PROFIT $522

Other Plays to consider:

1. Tampa Bay (+125) at New Jersey NJ 4 TB 3 IN OT

2. TB/NJ under 5.5 TOTAL 7

3. St. Louis/Anaheim over 5.5 TOTAL 6 (IN THE 2ND PERIOD)

Overall profit so far is at $522. We have some great games this week.

I think this is a great spot for Minnesota to steal a big win at San Jose. Both teams are playing great hockey so far this year. Minnesota’s defense has been very good on the road as they allow a goal less on the road than at home. Their powerplay killing unit is better than San Jose’s and their defense overall allows less goals per contest than SJ. Minnesota is 4-1 ATS on the road. Take Minnesota here.

Bet $100 to win $180

SJ 3 Minn 1 -$100

Running Total: $422

Other Plays to consider:

1. Under 5 Minn/SJ Total Goals 4

2. Nashville at Vancouver (-150) Van 4 Nas 0

3. Carolina (+105) at Toronto Car 5 Tor 4

Looking at the games tonight I easily see Detroit/Anaheim hitting the over 5 1/2, the Wild/Dallas game hitting the over 5, and the Toronto/NJ game being the main one in question to hit the over 5. Since I am not in love with any game on tonights card, I think parlaying the over is a solid bet. If you are looking for a little action tonight, take the over in a three team parlay.

BET $15 TO WIN $82.